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Long Swings In The Exchange Rate And The Excess Returns Puzzle: The Role Of Imperfect Knowledge

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Long Swings in the Exchange Rate and the Excess Returns Puzzle: The Role of William Strauss The paper is a clear breath of "dirty" air in the sterile world of perfect foresight. The authors offer a well worked out model of how agents persistently bid the exchange rate away from the expected long-r ....

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....ate path is unstable) but cannot be sure of the de-gree of "incorrectness" or the persistence of the di vergence. Embedded into this model are as-sumptions about PPP that provide comfort about this benchmark's ability to give the "correct" relative prices. It is possible that these assumptions, to some degree, mask the complexity of the situation with respect to PPP's ability to proxy relative prices. At the theoretical level, PPP should simply offer equal purchasing power for equal commodity....
Number of words: 505 Approximate pages: 2

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