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Could Gambling Save Science: Encouraging An Honest Consensus

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Visiting Researcher, The Foresight Institute P.O. Box 61058, Palo Alto, CA 94306 USA hanson@charon.arc.nasa.gov 510-651-7483 To appear in Social Epistemology, 1992. (version appeared: in Proc. Eighth Intl. Conf. on Risk and Gambling, London, 7/90.) C O U L D G A M B L I N G S A V E ....

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.... were "inflated by letters" and shunned anyone who dared "speculate on anything out of the common way" [De]. Outsiders -- astrologers, chemists, and people like Bacon and Galileo -- argued that they and their theories should be judged by how well they agreed with observations, and not by how they agreed with the authorities of the day [Gal]. This was the age of utopias [Whi], as these rebels debated possible academic reforms and imagined whole new social institutions, for both academia in parti....
Number of words: 16316 Approximate pages: 60

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